So we don't clog up the other post with this let's do it here as we know there is word that ELDO will drop to 5A Tepper is reporting some numbers already and here is what we have for El Paso. Now will some schools have some "students" not show up for official count to keep their numbers low?
Coronado - 2794
Americas - 2513
Pebble Hills - 2467
Eastwood - 2161 (possible drop as the number is 2175)
Del Valle - 2056
El Do - 2013
Parkland - 1554
Canutillo - 1529
Burges - 1520
Ysleta - 1394
San Eli - 1036
El Paso's 6A schools are all above the 2175 number. Del Valle and Eastlake look like they're staying 5A.
This link shows two columns. A 2015 column showing the numbers reported in 2015. And a 2017 column showing what numbers will be reported this year. The numbers you may be referring to when you say all EP 6A schools are above the 2175 mark are the 2015 numbers. The 2017 column has not been populated yet except for Pflugerville which has reported 2059 for 2017.
how about this one? Not all schools are reported but Eastwood is short of the 2175.
Thanks for the links but to make the links work easy for me and everyone else look over the bb code stuff and learn how to activate links. The bb code stuff is right above where we post our comments. It says this Enter Message: (bb code allowed and html allowed). Click on bb code.
Not everyone knows how to copy paste just saying.
When 6A teams miss the snapshot by a set number of students the school can petition to stay up at that district. Heard Eastwood is probably going to do that. Don't be surprised to see them at 6A still.
EP Football Insider
Matt Stepp tweated that Eastlake has reported 2194 enrollment. He is projecting this to be above the 6A cut off line. Welcome to 6A Eastlake...
Matt Stepp has Andress, Burges, Parkland, and Canutillo well below the Division 1 cut off, so if that is true, those four teams would be in Division 2. Also, El Dorado will be in Division 1-5A.
Remember that the projected cut-offs might be off some. The official cut-off was released after Thanksgiving last round (2015).
Matt Stepp is projecting Hanks to be the last 5A D1 school. Andress, Parkland, Burges and Canutillo would all be 5A D2. Just repeating what was said above in other terms. Eastwood opting up gives us a nice 6a district with an even number of teams but it could leave 5A d1 with just 5 teams. Hope the UIL doesnt stick a school that is hundreds of miles away in it to make a 6 teamer. Terrible travel for both sides.
Honestly, Eastwood would be better off dropping. It gives them a better chance at success, but either way D1-5A is going to be pretty tough
My projections. Not sure how UIL will handle 5-team districts. They very well could deny the Eastwood request but then what happens with 5a d2 - district 2?
Go 5-A Eastwood
Suck up the pride and prestige and go 5-A. Don't petition. Give your kids a chance the next few years. Your enrollment will continue to drop with the construction. It makes no sense to go to 6-A. It's about the kids, not the past , the coaches, the admin
The reality of it is Eastwood can’t compare its athletes to these new big schools. While they may have those 2-3 stand outs on either side of the ball they don’t have teams worth of athletes with the size.
Here we go, folks. Matt Stepp and the DCTF staff gathered and consolidated the data.
This google document shows the top 719 enrollments (through 2-A I think)
Eastwood must drop down to 5A for their own good.
Karlos, good projections. Latest from Stepp is that Eastwood changed their mind and will not petition to go 6A. They will let the chips fall where they may. So if they don't make the 6A cutoff, they will go 5A.
Per your projections and based on Stepp's cutoffs that moves Eastwood to 5A D1. This makes 6A a seven team district, 5A D1 a six team district. The remaining twelve schools will now be split between the two 5A D2 districts. In order to make things even, I would move Burges to the second district so as to make both districts six teams each. Burges does not have the close rivalries the other teams would have in the EPISD district....you know Bowie-Jeff, EPHS Austin, and Andress-Irvin. Besides they are geographically closer to the schools in the other district. Anyhoo, moving Burges would then make the 5A D2's even with six each. My two cents.
What about Socorro? They can't win 1 single game at the 6A level. What is it now 29 straight losses? Are Socorro's numbers anywhere near 5A?
EPISD is going to have schools in D1 and D2 5A regardless because of Chapin. Honestly this D1 and D2 split is going to be hard on El Paso teams as far as travel purposes. I think they are going to have to make the cut off down the middle because AD's and Head Coaches are going to complain to UIL if they are put in the larger division because the numbers were not split down the middle. I don't know how they make the cut offs, but thats how I would see it working.
25 to be exact... but Socorro is going to turn in 2350-2400 and will stay in 6A they just need more players
But I would love to see my bulldogs in 5A
Pebble and Del Valle will be DC next year. I'm excited to see how Eastlake does. Right now I put them 3rd. Missing playoffs Coronado, Americas, Socorro. And Hanks and Bel Air but they are used to it. What are your guys projected standings next year with the new districts
Check out Jeff's numbers. If the 1760 cutoff for 5A D1 holds true, Jeff moves up to D1 possibly leaving the EPISD 5A D2 district at an even 6. Again for the sake of equal numbers, let Hanks drop to 5A D2 since they are on the cusp and then both 5A D2's will be an even 6.
Division 1-5A if the cutoff is the 1760 some news agencies are reporting will be
Eastwood (unless they stay up)
Jefferson (Reported 1773....have to count the Silva students)
Divison 2 1-5A
Division 2 2-5A
It will be very interesting to see how the UIL handles 5a D2 districts. I also took a look at West Texas teams in the Panhandle and Permian Basin and there are probably only 4-5 with 5a d2 numbers. Since each district will send 4 teams to the playoff I have serious doubts that UIL will allow 4-5 team districts in the 5a/6a classifications.
Nearly all of the numbers are in, and nothing is official from the UIL, but this represents a good, educated opinion of the schools that will be in Class 6A and their respective Districts. The author doesn't expect it to go precisely the same, but he/she does have it thought out and justified quite well.